Claim check · as of Oct 29, 2026
AI trading claim check
AI trading products advertise big numbers. We record exactly what each one says, what it says the number is based on, and what anyone can actually check. This is a record, not an accusation: a claim with no independent evidence may still be true.
18claims checked from 11 products
6backtest, simulated or hypothetical
11with no independent record
1a third party can verify
Akka Hyper AI (Hyperliquid vault)
AMeasured by us“targeting 15–20% monthly returns”
- Where
- The vault leader's own description on Hyperliquid
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown
- Based on (their words)
- A target, not a result
- What anyone can check
- Our own number from Hyperliquid's public data (see below).
- What would verify it
- Already verifiable: compare the target with the vault's measured monthly return.
Our number, from Hyperliquid's public data: +9.8% from Nov 12, 2025 to Oct 28, 2026, about +0.8% a month, with a 5.0% max drawdown. See it on the leaderboard.
DBacktest or hypothetical “delivered 7,000% cumulative returns over the past 3 years”
- Where
- Official Premium Alerts page (page description; the body text says 4 years)
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown (closed trades since Sept 2022)
- Based on (their words)
- Hypothetical: the linked trade log calls it hypothetical P&L on a $1,000 stake per alert
- What anyone can check
- A trade log hosted by the product itself, labelled hypothetical; not independent. Link
- What would verify it
- A complete timestamped alert archive with entry and exit rules; a real account record for actual returns.
DBacktest or hypothetical “picks win at a 60% rate vs S&P500 and beating S&P by 81% annualized”
- Where
- Official home page (investing newsletter)
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- As of 07/15/25
- Based on (their words)
- Hypothetical: the footer says results are not actual trading results
- What anyone can check
- Headline statistics only; no list of picks. Link
- Their disclaimer
- Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations.
- What would verify it
- A dated list of every pick with entry and exit prices.
DBacktest or hypothetical Paraphrase27% better returns than S&P 500 with a 54% win rate (about 5,000 picks since 2023)
- Where
- Official home page (trading newsletter)
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown (since 2023)
- Based on (their words)
- Hypothetical (same footer)
- What anyone can check
- No complete pick log found.
- Their disclaimer
- Same footer as above.
- What would verify it
- A full pick log with timestamps.
DBacktest or hypothetical “12.9x outperformance of our investment picks to the S&P 500”
- Where
- Official home page
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown; no period
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated at the claim; the site footer says results are not actual trading results
- What anyone can check
- None found.
- Their disclaimer
- Footer disclaimer only.
- What would verify it
- The period, the method and the list of picks.
Stock Prediction AI US Market (Circuit Europe OU)
DBacktest or hypothetical“achieving over 90% accuracy in benchmark testing scenarios”
- Where
- Apple App Store listing
- Seen
- Oct 29, 2026
- Claim dated
- Version note dated Sep 15 (year not shown)
- Based on (their words)
- Backtest (benchmark testing; method not given)
- What anyone can check
- None.
- What would verify it
- Live predictions with timestamps, scored against outcomes.
DBacktest or hypothetical “Simulated portfolio returns a scorching 54% beating S&P's performance of 3.0%”
- Where
- Official blog post
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- 2018-08-03 (first half of 2018)
- Based on (their words)
- Simulated ("historical daily paper trades", no slippage)
- What anyone can check
- No trade list.
- Their disclaimer
- Past performance of the simulated portfolio does not guarantee future results.
- What would verify it
- A broker statement for a real account trading the signals.
Paraphrase11% average 30-day profit for the grid bot (and $203M of bot profit in a year)
- Where
- Official home page statistics
- Seen
- Oct 29, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated (no method, date range, or gross vs net)
- What anyone can check
- None found.
- What would verify it
- A method that counts stopped and losing bots and fees, checked against exchange data.
“Automatic Trading Bots outperform humans”
- Where
- Official home page
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated; a screenshot on the page shows +300.57%
- What anyone can check
- None found.
- Their disclaimer
- Past performance is not indicative of future results; screenshots are illustrative and may be exaggerated.
- What would verify it
- A study of matched bot vs manual accounts.
“Profit 101.62%”
- Where
- Official marketplace listing (seller Gainscrypt, APEX-R)
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown; no period
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated
- What anyone can check
- None visible.
- Their disclaimer
- Profits shown on the marketplace are not indicative of future results.
- What would verify it
- The period, live vs backtest, and an exchange-verified record.
“outperformed the market by +14.69% on average after 3 months (annualized alpha)”
- Where
- Official website, home page
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown (record said to start in 2017)
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated
- What anyone can check
- No independent record found.
- Their disclaimer
- Nearby text: it is impossible to predict perfectly which stocks will beat the market.
- What would verify it
- A timestamped archive of every published score, with the return method.
ParaphraseBest Stocks strategy generated +191% vs +118% for the S&P 500
- Where
- Official website, home page
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- Period Jan 3, 2017 – Aug 15, 2023 (not updated since)
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated
- What anyone can check
- No independent record found.
- What would verify it
- Holdings and rebalance dates as published at the time.
ParaphraseTop Picks compound annual growth of 21.9% vs 13.3% for the S&P 500 since January 2012
- Where
- Official website article
- Seen
- Oct 29, 2026
- Claim dated
- No end date shown
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated
- What anyone can check
- None found.
- Their disclaimer
- Site-wide: past performance does not guarantee future results.
- What would verify it
- When each score was published vs the portfolio dates, and the holdings history.
“~80% winners since 2022.”
- Where
- Official home page description (search and social preview)
- Seen
- Oct 29, 2026
- Claim dated
- Not shown
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated (the same text mentions 5-year backtests)
- What anyone can check
- Only the product-hosted log above. Link
- What would verify it
- A definition of a winner and the full alert list since 2022.
“have achieved annualized returns as high as +171% in live trading”
- Where
- Official website article and press release
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- 2025-09-26
- Based on (their words)
- Live trading, as stated; account and broker not named; periods of 45–115 days, annualized
- What anyone can check
- No broker-verified record found.
- Their disclaimer
- A link to a disclaimers page.
- What would verify it
- Broker-verified records per agent for 12+ months, not annualized.
“posted the highest reported annualized return at 212.87%”
- Where
- Official website article and press release
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- 2026-08-16
- Based on (their words)
- Not stated ("reported"; no period given)
- What anyone can check
- No independent record found.
- Their disclaimer
- A link to a disclaimers page.
- What would verify it
- The period, the account type and a broker-verified record.
“forecasting stock trends with up to 70% historical accuracy”
- Where
- Official website article and press release
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- 2025-10-21
- Based on (their words)
- Historical, method not stated
- What anyone can check
- No out-of-sample record found.
- Their disclaimer
- A link to a disclaimers page.
- What would verify it
- A definition of accuracy and forecasts published with timestamps before the outcome.
ParaphraseThe total performance of HOLLY AI for September was -1.5% (vs SPY −5%)
- Where
- Article by a Trade Ideas co-founder on Nasdaq.com
- Seen
- Oct 28, 2026
- Claim dated
- 2020-10-08
- Based on (their words)
- Per-share profit on each signal, no stops (the article's own definition)
- What anyone can check
- No signal list.
- What would verify it
- All signals with timestamps and the method used to add them up.
Make a claim? Make it checkable
Publish the trading address on your official site or docs, or connect a read-only record a venue verifies, and the number goes on the verified leaderboard with our own math. Contact us to get a claim re-graded.
How we collect claims
Return, win-rate, accuracy and beat-the-market claims from a product's own website, app-store listing, official posts or press releases, with the link and the date we saw it. Short quotes are exact; longer claims are paraphrased and marked. Spot an error or an update? Tell us.
Not financial advice. Grades describe the evidence, not the product. Past results don't predict future results.