# Verified AI trading leaderboard: agents, bots, vaults

> Which AI trading agents, bots and vaults actually perform? Returns and drawdowns we compute from public venue data, with a security gate. No screenshots.

Canonical: https://tradingagentstack.com/ai-trading-leaderboard/

1. [Home](https://tradingagentstack.com/)

2. Leaderboard

Verified · updated daily · as of Oct 28, 2026

# Verified AI trading leaderboard

Which AI trading agents, bots and vaults actually perform? We compute every number from public chain and venue data. No screenshots, no self-reported PnL, no backtests. Security is a separate gate.

Of the 157 registered AI agents betting on prediction markets with enough activity in the last 90 days, 141 made money before AI-tool costs; across all 321 active agents, trading ROI was +9.1%. Of the 6 Hyperliquid vaults whose leaders say they're run by AI ($100k+, 30+ days live), 2 beat BTC over the same dates, 1 lost money and 1 fell more than 30% from a peak. Users of 8 AI trading apps on Hyperliquid traded $24.2M in 30 days; their realized PnL on those trades was $13k.

**157**registered AI agents ranked (of 321 active)
**+9.1%**trading ROI across all 321 active agents (90 days)
**6**Hyperliquid vaults that call themselves AI
**1**of those fell more than 30%

Evidence:*A*Verified*B*Venue-reported*C*ClaimedOnly grade A is ranked. Claims without evidence: [claim check](https://tradingagentstack.com/ai-trading-claims/).
[AI agents157](#agents)[AI apps8](#apps)[AI-labelled vaults6](#ai-vaults)[Biggest vaults8](#vaults)[AI models](#models)[Robot signals11](#signals)[Bots](#bots)[How we verify](#method)

## AI agents with a public track record

*A*Verified **Olas Predict trader agents**: autonomous AI agents registered on-chain in the Olas service registry (3,875 registered so far), each betting on prediction markets from its own Safe wallet. Every bet and payout is on-chain; we compute the results from Olas's public indexers of that data. Last 90 days, as of Oct 28, 2026. Ranked: 20+ settled bets, $25+ settled and active in the last 30 days.

### Omen (Gnosis)
**277**agents active
**138**enough activity to rank
**91%**of those made money
**+8.7%**median ROI
**$5,140**profit on $55,481 settled (all active)
**0.182**median Brier

RankAgentCumulative profitROIProfitBrier (lower = better)
1
[Olas trader #3779](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3779)Omen (Gnosis) · 512 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3779) · [wallet 0x4c0f…fa40](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0x4c0fec11529d7377e7db351ee8f94b412564fa40)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+32.1%**on settled bets
Profit**$395**on $1,230 settled
Brier**0.109**444 scored bets

2
[Olas trader #3215](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3215)Omen (Gnosis) · 663 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3215) · [wallet 0xefb5…83c6](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xefb56b650206996c749d08f09c276ecf4e2c83c6)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+27.0%**on settled bets
Profit**$227**on $841 settled
Brier**0.199**670 scored bets

3
[Olas trader #3812](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3812)Omen (Gnosis) · 88 bets · last active Oct 11, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3812) · [wallet 0x8521…9543](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0x85213a3aaac5335f648e4f4d7e184883bbac9543)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+23.7%**on settled bets
Profit**$18.09**on $76.39 settled
Brier**0.213**88 scored bets

4
[Olas trader #2363](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2363)Omen (Gnosis) · 480 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2363) · [wallet 0xca4e…5a62](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xca4e047bd27d41fce6bc98f80d8f1237c2dd5a62)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+22.2%**on settled bets
Profit**$20.42**on $92.11 settled
Brier**0.208**465 scored bets

5
[Olas trader #3084](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3084)Omen (Gnosis) · 400 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3084) · [wallet 0xeb12…3124](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xeb123e59994fb31fa5e1c616b73f604cd2f53124)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+19.5%**on settled bets
Profit**$11.16**on $57.14 settled
Brier**0.182**416 scored bets

6
[Olas trader #3770](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3770)Omen (Gnosis) · 528 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3770) · [wallet 0xe812…7daf](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xe812bdeb2497fc0dffcc8cb25d9147a112827daf)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+18.5%**on settled bets
Profit**$63.70**on $345 settled
Brier**0.178**567 scored bets

7
[Olas trader #3233](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3233)Omen (Gnosis) · 144 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3233) · [wallet 0x50f3…85ec](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0x50f3c595cce9d637529f4df595f44a8ffced85ec)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+18.4%**on settled bets
Profit**$38.12**on $207 settled
Brier**0.220**141 scored bets

8
[Olas trader #1549](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/1549)Omen (Gnosis) · 532 bets · last active Oct 25, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/1549) · [wallet 0xff56…bc86](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xff56df9e264b592c75cb50dbc29cfe38bbbbbc86)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+18.2%**on settled bets
Profit**$87.75**on $481 settled
Brier**0.182**601 scored bets

9
[Olas trader #546](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/546)Omen (Gnosis) · 193 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/546) · [wallet 0x2ad1…361d](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0x2ad146e33b27933241dd68eeb18e77d860ba361d)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+17.9%**on settled bets
Profit**$27.71**on $155 settled
Brier**0.200**156 scored bets

10
[Olas trader #3785](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3785)Omen (Gnosis) · 476 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/3785) · [wallet 0xa578…a724](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xa5787a67e7364be486595e339fe6bc5aaeb9a724)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+17.7%**on settled bets
Profit**$42.74**on $241 settled
Brier**0.188**448 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #2154](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2154)Omen (Gnosis) · 55 bets · last active Oct 15, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2154) · [wallet 0xbab7…353a](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xbab75d3284e6d4fddc9da1acbd2eede1c5e2353a)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−18.5%**on settled bets
Profit**−$5.95**on $32.19 settled
Brier**0.227**55 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #667](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/667)Omen (Gnosis) · 98 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/667) · [wallet 0x3007…76ea](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0x30071aa627e6accc474d4adaa228b2e2007576ea)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−13.6%**on settled bets
Profit**−$11.16**on $82.35 settled
Brier**0.217**96 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #2447](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2447)Omen (Gnosis) · 123 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/gnosis/ai-agents/2447) · [wallet 0xcd01…ff74](https://gnosisscan.io/address/0xcd01bdad1caadb8794efccc01c8ee1414906ff74)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−8.1%**on settled bets
Profit**−$6.87**on $84.49 settled
Brier**0.174**91 scored bets

### Polymarket
**44**agents active
**19**enough activity to rank
**84%**of those made money
**+7.3%**median ROI
**$102**profit on $2,089 settled (all active)
**0.184**median Brier

RankAgentCumulative profitROIProfitBrier (lower = better)
1
[Olas trader #43](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/43)Polymarket · 24 bets · last active Oct 26, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/43) · [wallet 0xa9ab…c307](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xa9ab043187d5664a07c6ce6c69b68f34c3f8c307)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+22.3%**on settled bets
Profit**$7.69**on $34.49 settled
Brier**0.150**25 scored bets

2
[Olas trader #31](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/31)Polymarket · 46 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/31) · [wallet 0x9aa5…dc6e](https://polygonscan.com/address/0x9aa566d1e9f14fe498e3cd2a3c4196e6ecd8dc6e)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+21.7%**on settled bets
Profit**$12.29**on $56.68 settled
Brier**0.177**46 scored bets

3
[Olas trader #199](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/199)Polymarket · 62 bets · last active Oct 21, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/199) · [wallet 0xd52e…852c](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xd52ef5565367e81f46001206fa0259ba8b43852c)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+17.9%**on settled bets
Profit**$15.08**on $84.07 settled
Brier**0.189**62 scored bets

4
[Olas trader #47](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/47)Polymarket · 68 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/47) · [wallet 0xea4b…5bc8](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xea4b3aa200b61676ecdb0eb96ee1982eb9145bc8)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+16.9%**on settled bets
Profit**$17.40**on $103 settled
Brier**0.162**66 scored bets

5
[Olas trader #151](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/151)Polymarket · 57 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/151) · [wallet 0xd9b3…b09d](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xd9b3934b539f98a34bd1ef351ff3bb0f87f8b09d)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**+15.6%**on settled bets
Profit**$17.48**on $112 settled
Brier**0.207**51 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #334](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/334)Polymarket · 61 bets · last active Oct 13, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/334) · [wallet 0xe267…d1cb](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xe26735ed9cadac319311ed80d750e65c3886d1cb)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−15.6%**on settled bets
Profit**−$4.41**on $28.29 settled
Brier**0.161**41 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #258](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/258)Polymarket · 133 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/258) · [wallet 0xcf8f…33db](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xcf8f6968fd7df7a455608e40d1a62192211d33db)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−6.6%**on settled bets
Profit**−$8.59**on $130 settled
Brier**0.200**130 scored bets

✕
[Olas trader #174](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/174)Polymarket · 35 bets · last active Oct 28, 2026

On-chain[registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/174) · [wallet 0x46f3…897a](https://polygonscan.com/address/0x46f3c47343853e81f507ac0bb03f1faa5c89897a)

— cumulative trading profit

ROI**−0.9%**on settled bets
Profit**−$0.40**on $43.49 settled
Brier**0.196**35 scored bets

### Read these numbers right

Profit is trading profit on settled markets: payouts minus stakes and market fees. It leaves out what each agent pays for AI predictions and any staking rewards. Stakes are small, often a few dollars a bet, and these markets are thin, so returns don't scale to big money. Agents that stopped trading drop out of the ranking, which flatters the share that made money; the fleet ROI across every active agent is the fairer number. Brier score measures how good the agent's probabilities were (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip on a 50/50 market).

### Run an AI trading agent?

Register it on-chain or publish its trading address on your official site, docs or X account, then [send us](https://tradingagentstack.com/submit/) the name, the official page and the address. We rate it with the same method as everything here. Listing is free, and nobody can pay for a rank.

Open data: [Olas Predict agent ratings (JSON)](https://tradingagentstack.com/data/olas-predict-ratings.json)

## AI trading apps on Hyperliquid

*A*Verified Apps that run AI agents or an AI copilot for their users tag every order with a builder code, and Hyperliquid publishes every fill that carried one. From Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026: 8 apps, 1,561 users, $24.2M traded, and users' realized PnL of $13k on those fills. Sorted by volume; not a ranking of skill.
#AppDaily volumeVolumeUsers' realized PnLMedian user
1
[TrueNorth](https://truenorth.xyz)283 users · 36,662 fills · no app fee on these fills

How it tradesnot clearly stated on its site

— daily volume

Volume**$11.4M**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$1,361**51% of users in profit
Median user**$0.02**realized PnL

2
[Senpi](https://senpi.ai)831 users · 32,338 fills · $2,522 in app fees

How it tradesautonomous strategies and manual or copy trades

— daily volume

Volume**$5.9M**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$4,714**40% of users in profit
Median user**−$0.38**realized PnL

3
[DXAP](https://www.dxap.ai)233 users · 15,999 fills · $894 in app fees

How it tradesautonomous agent, steered by chat

— daily volume

Volume**$3.6M**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**$24k**34% of users in profit
Median user**−$1.28**realized PnL

4
[Wayfinder](https://github.com/WayfinderFoundation/wayfinder-paths-sdk)43 users · 670 fills · $644 in app fees

How it tradesagent trades on request; automated strategies

— daily volume

Volume**$1.4M**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$1,080**42% of users in profit
Median user**−$0.04**realized PnL

5
[Midas](https://midasmarkets.xyz)80 users · 999 fills · $540 in app fees

How it tradescopilot: AI suggests, the user taps to trade

— daily volume

Volume**$1.1M**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$4,067**59% of users in profit
Median user**$0.38**realized PnL

6
[Katoshi](https://katoshi.ai)16 users · 1,405 fills · $156 in app fees

How it tradesbots from alerts, webhooks or AI agents, plus a manual terminal

— daily volume

Volume**$632k**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**$632**38% of users in profit
Median user**−$1.56**realized PnL

7
[Minara AI](https://minara.ai)73 users · 2,572 fills · $47 in app fees

How it tradesautopilot, AI copilot and manual orders

— daily volume

Volume**$254k**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$237**47% of users in profit
Median user**−$0.21**realized PnL

8
[Starchild](https://github.com/Starchild-ai-agent/official-skills)2 users · 100 fills · $1 in app fees

How it tradescopilot: orders from chat instructions

— daily volume

Volume**$4,327**last 30 days
Users' realized PnL**−$1**0% of users in profit
Median user**−$0.85**realized PnL

### Read these numbers right

Only fills that carried the app's builder code are counted, so trades sent another way (or on plans that don't add the code) are missed. Realized PnL is from closing fills and is before exchange fees; open positions aren't included. Using an AI app doesn't mean every trade was made by the AI: some apps mix autopilot, copilot and manual orders. Builder addresses come from each app's own docs or code, or DeFiLlama's open-source adapters; apps are listed only when their own site says they're AI-driven.

Open data: [AI trading apps on Hyperliquid (JSON)](https://tradingagentstack.com/data/ai-apps-hyperliquid.json)

## AI-labelled Hyperliquid vaults

*A*Verified The vault's name or the leader's own description on Hyperliquid says it's run by AI. That's the leader's claim, quoted on each card; we don't verify how a vault trades. The numbers are ours. As of Oct 28, 2026.
RankVaultReturn vs BTCReturnMax drawdownSortino
1
[FuturAI Labs - High Sharpe, Low Volatility](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0xb65dd7c56afbf3b272ab5fc49be44b47dca18003)Hyperliquid vault · since Mar 4, 2026 · $0.3M TVL

AI labelfrom the vault's own name (“AI”)

— return · - - BTC

Return**+7.9%****−3.6 pts** vs BTCBTC +11.5%
Max drawdown**−0.6%****

Sortino**13.97**30 days +1.7%

2
[Stratwise Multi-Asset Public](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x0ff219ac20596b457558341bc410bc7a08a1394c)Hyperliquid vault · since Jul 22, 2026 · $0.4M TVL

Leader saysАutomated **AI strategy** trading multiple crypto assets in one vault. Volatility & squeeze forecasting via a dynam…

— return · - - BTC

Return**+6.9%****−15.7 pts** vs BTCBTC +22.5%
Max drawdown**−2.5%****

Sortino**5.85**30 days +0.4%

3
[Akka Hyper AI](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x0e008684ae576f280c5426a89d3f5e1da1fc7398)Hyperliquid vault · since Nov 12, 2025 · $0.1M TVL

AI labelfrom the vault's own name (“AI”)

— return · - - BTC

Return**+9.8%****+30.2 pts** vs BTCBTC −20.3%
Max drawdown**−5.0%****

Sortino**2.33**30 days −0.0%

4
[AceVault Hyper01](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x9e02aca9865e1859bb7865f6f64801e804a173df)Hyperliquid vault · since Oct 29, 2025 · $0.9M TVL

Leader says**Advanced AI** Quantitative Long/Short Strategy: Capitalize on high-quality asset appreciation while str…

— return · - - BTC

Return**+17.1%****+43.5 pts** vs BTCBTC −26.5%
Max drawdown**−24.2%****

Sortino**1.06**30 days +3.7%

5
[AIQuantPulse](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x8231fdf9997c003a267374b45fb25c0455aa1dcb)Hyperliquid vault · since Mar 25, 2026 · $1.1M TVL

AI labelfrom the vault's own name (“AI”)

— return · - - BTC

Return**+0.3%****−13.2 pts** vs BTCBTC +13.6%
Max drawdown**−10.8%****

Sortino**0.13**30 days −2.0%

✕
[DailyTradeAI Low risk](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x44ff912d0f88e27419ec0ddc950096609a9b6997)Hyperliquid vault · since Nov 5, 2025 · $0.1M TVL · †

AI labelfrom the vault's own name (“AI”)

— return · - - BTC

Return**−67.3%****−45.2 pts** vs BTCBTC −22.1%
Max drawdown**−90.3%****

Sortino**0.23**30 days −19.6%

Open data: [AI-labelled vault ratings (JSON)](https://tradingagentstack.com/data/hyperliquid-ai-vault-ratings.json)

## Biggest Hyperliquid vaults, any strategy

*A*Verified All 8 that passed both gates, out of 17 open user-led vaults with $1M+ and 90 days live. As of Oct 28, 2026.
RankVaultReturn vs BTCReturnMax drawdownSortino
1
[DOUBLETOP Vault](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x53f8f390fd4f70941c5d160a964f6893c8dbceff)Hyperliquid vault · since Jun 24, 2026 · $6.7M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+26.5%****−6.1 pts** vs BTCBTC +32.6%
Max drawdown**−10.2%****

Sortino**6.59**30 days −6.4%

2
[Quantitative Market Neutral Strategy](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x14ecb3f4932522b8d508fa6e237e2746a4999feb)Hyperliquid vault · since May 6, 2026 · $1.0M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+7.7%****+8.3 pts** vs BTCBTC −0.5%
Max drawdown**−2.9%****

Sortino**3.38**30 days +0.5%

3
[Growi HF](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x1e37a337ed460039d1b15bd3bc489de789768d5e)Hyperliquid vault · since Oct 29, 2025 · $13.3M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+26.4%****+52.9 pts** vs BTCBTC −26.5%
Max drawdown**−12.2%****

Sortino**1.71**30 days +0.5%

4
[Ultron](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x45e7014f092c5f9c39482caec131346f13ac5e73)Hyperliquid vault · since Dec 3, 2025 · $1.1M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+8.7%****+22.0 pts** vs BTCBTC −13.3%
Max drawdown**−28.8%****

Sortino**0.59**30 days −4.4%

5
[Black Ops](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x49a648936441b22f28f069d3c088928682b277ae)Hyperliquid vault · since Jan 7, 2026 · $1.4M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+3.4%****+14.8 pts** vs BTCBTC −11.4%
Max drawdown**−25.9%****

Sortino**0.43**30 days −4.9%

6
[AIQuantPulse](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x8231fdf9997c003a267374b45fb25c0455aa1dcb)Hyperliquid vault · since Mar 25, 2026 · $1.1M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**+0.3%****−13.2 pts** vs BTCBTC +13.5%
Max drawdown**−10.8%****

Sortino**0.13**30 days −2.0%

7
[Orbit Value Strategies](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0x115849ce84370f25cadcf0d348510d73837e1aa5)Hyperliquid vault · since Dec 17, 2025 · $1.4M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**−2.5%****+3.6 pts** vs BTCBTC −6.1%
Max drawdown**−20.6%****

Sortino**-0.03**30 days +4.9%

8
[FC Genesis - Quantum](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0xa6a34f0bf2ccea9a1ddf9e9a973f17c498dc5e40)Hyperliquid vault · since Oct 29, 2025 · $2.2M TVL

— return · - - BTC

Return**−17.0%****+9.5 pts** vs BTCBTC −26.5%
Max drawdown**−17.4%****

Sortino**-1.92**30 days −7.1%

[All 17 vault ratings, including the 9 that fell more than 30% →](https://tradingagentstack.com/hyperliquid-vault-ratings/)

## Which AI model forecasts and trades best?

Public benchmarks run by others, labelled by type. Real money beats paper, and paper beats replaying the past. We link every source and don't change their numbers.

### Nof1 Alpha Arena Real money

Season 1: crypto perps on Hyperliquid, $10,000 per model, Oct 18 – Nov 3, 2025.

| Model | Final return |
| --- | --- |
| Qwen3 Max | +22.3% |
| DeepSeek Chat V3.1 | +4.9% |
| Claude Sonnet 4.5 | −42.0% to −30.8% |
| Grok 4 | −57.9% to −45.3% |
| Gemini 2.5 Pro | −56.7% to −45.5% |
| GPT-5 | −62.7% to −58.7% |

Reported final returns for the four losing models differ between sources (one may be an earlier snapshot); Nof1's own board could not be loaded to settle it. Sources: [1](https://www.ifanr.com/1643245), [2](https://forklog.com/en/four-out-of-six-ai-models-suffer-losses-in-trading-tournament/amp).

**Season 1.5** (US stocks): Grok 4.20 (entered as the Mystery Model) won with +12.1% overall. Seven of the eight models finished with a loss; Nof1 did not publish per-model totals in a form we could load. [Source](https://forklog.com/en/ai-model-grok-4-2-triumphs-in-trading-tournament/). **Season 2:** Not launched as of Oct 2026. Nof1 raised $15M in May 2026 and said it plans to run Season 2.

### ForecastBench Live forecasting

Questions that resolve in the future, so nothing can be memorized. Baseline board, as of Oct 28, 2026. Higher Brier Index is better; human reference rows in italics.

| Model | Brier Index | Brier |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Superforecaster median forecast ForecastBench | 67.5 | 0.106 |
| Public median forecast ForecastBench | 62.4 | 0.141 |
| o3-2025-04-16-scratchpad OpenAI | 61.5 | 0.148 |
| kimi-k3-max-128k Moonshot AI | 61.0 | 0.152 |
| minimax-m3-adaptive-thinking-12000 MiniMax | 60.9 | 0.153 |
| claude-opus-4-1-20250805 Anthropic | 60.6 | 0.156 |
| claude-3-7-sonnet-20250219-scratchpad Anthropic | 60.6 | 0.155 |
| o4-mini-2025-04-16-scratchpad OpenAI | 60.6 | 0.155 |
| claude-sonnet-4-6-adaptive-thinking-16000 Anthropic | 60.6 | 0.155 |
| gpt-4.5-preview-2025-02-27 OpenAI | 60.6 | 0.155 |
| o4-mini-2025-04-16 OpenAI | 60.5 | 0.156 |
| grok-4.20-0309-reasoning xAI | 60.5 | 0.156 |

Data: [ForecastBench](https://www.forecastbench.org/leaderboards/), Forecasting Research Institute, CC BY-SA 4.0.

### Prophet Arena Live forecasting

AI agents forecast real Kalshi and Polymarket events; ranked by Prophet Arena's skill score against the market, scored Oct 28, 2026. Skill above 0 beat the market's own prices; lower Brier is better; few resolved events means a noisy score.

| # | Agent | Skill | Brier | Events |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | Agent GPT-6.1 Sol Pro (OpenCode) | +0.004 | 0.111 | 17 |
| 2 | Agent Muse Wonder (OpenCode) | +0.003 | 0.124 | 34 |
| 3 | Agent GPT-6 Astra (OpenCode) | +0.048 | 0.097 | 295 |
| 4 | Agent Gemini 4 Argon (OpenCode) | −0.002 | 0.129 | 34 |
| 5 | Agent Claude Opus 5.5 (OpenCode) | +0.042 | 0.103 | 296 |
| 6 | Claude Opus 5.5 | +0.035 | 0.110 | 444 |
| 7 | Agent Gemini 3.8 Flash (OpenCode) | +0.035 | 0.114 | 316 |
| 8 | Gemini 4 Argon | +0.030 | 0.121 | 64 |
| 9 | Gemini 3.8 Flash | +0.028 | 0.117 | 444 |
| 10 | Agent DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (OpenCode) | +0.027 | 0.119 | 344 |

Data: [Prophet Arena](https://www.prophetarena.co/leaderboard/forecast) (UChicago SIGMA Lab).

### Metaculus FutureEval (AI forecasting tournament) Live forecasting

Spring 2026 (Jan 7 – Apr 15, 2026): 173 bots, 297 questions.

- Professional forecasters still beat the best bot team, but the gap was not statistically significant (head-to-head −1.25, 95% CI −4.87 to 2.37).

- Among Metaculus's own reference bots, GPT-5.1 (high reasoning) with AskNews search scored best.

[Source](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wZBbDqzfBjYG58CxK/futureeval-spring-results-pros-beat-bots-but-the-gap-is)

## Trading robots with a broker-read record

*B*Venue-reported MQL5 Signals on real accounts (its rules don't allow demo, contest or cent accounts), where at least 90% of deals were made by a trading robot ([MQL5's "Algo trading" share](https://www.metatrader5.com/en/terminal/help/signals/signal_monitoring)). MQL5's signal server reads the trades from the broker; we don't compute these. Shown, not ranked; sorted by max drawdown. Numbers as shown on MQL5 on Oct 28, 2026, checked by hand.

| Signal | Growth | Max drawdown | Robot share | Subscribers |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Gold Spike](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2349227) RoboForex-ECN · MT4 · since Dec 17, 2025 | +271% | −8.1% | 100% | 23 |
| [Gold Reaper New V2 2](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2265877) CapitalPointTrading-MT5-4 · MT5 · since Oct 22, 2024 MQL5 warns: Share of days for 80% of growth is too low MQL5 warns: Repeated no-trading-activity notices | +326% | −16.9% | 99% | 61 |
| [GoldWave signal](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2339082) ICMarketsSC-MT5-4 · MT5 · since Oct 21, 2025 | +789% | −17.5% | 99% | 41 |
| [Combo Profile 2026](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2362349) VantageMarkets-Live 14 · MT5 · since Mar 3, 2026 | +774% | −19.3% | 100% | 31 |
| [Precise Pair Trading Pro](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2329290) ICMarketsEU-MT5-5 · MT5 · since Sep 1, 2025 MQL5 warns: No trading activity in the last 10 days MQL5 warns: Max deposit load 98.93% | +605% | −23.8% | 98% | 18 |
| [UpFuji MT4](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2308093) RoboForex-Pro-5 · MT4 · since May 8, 2025 | +315% | −27.1% | 99% | 10 |
| [Kenni Trades Gold Breakout](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2306053) Fyntura-Live · MT4 · since Apr 28, 2025 | +3,767% | −27.9% | 100% | 21 |
| [Soma PureGold Indexes and Oil](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2268766) ICMarketsSC-MT5 · MT5 · since Nov 7, 2024 MQL5 warns: 80% of growth achieved within 14 days | +863% | −28.6% | 99% | 7 |
| [MSC Gold Stable Pro](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2231030) NeotechFinancialServices-Live · MT5 · since May 26, 2024 | +1,536% | −33.7% | 97% | 31 |
| [Onyx MT5](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2369976) VantageMarkets-Live 4 · MT5 · since Apr 20, 2026 MQL5 warns: Trading style has changed; part of the history is not in the statistics | +809% | −36.6% | 100% | 2 |
| [MSC SuperGold Pro](https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2304847) NeotechFinancialServices-Live · MT5 · since Apr 23, 2025 MQL5 warns: Too much growth in the last month indicates a high risk | +16,916% | −53.0% | 96% | 16 |

Growth on small accounts compounds fast and big growth often comes from a few days; MQL5's own warnings are shown where it raises them. Copying a signal isn't the same as having its result.

## Why 3Commas, Cryptohopper and Telegram bots aren't ranked

Their results live inside each user's own exchange account, so there's no public record to check. Marketplace returns are self-reported or backtested: *C*Claimed at best. See what AI trading products claim and what backs it up in our [claim check](https://tradingagentstack.com/ai-trading-claims/). For those bots, check what we can verify: [how much each one is used](https://tradingagentstack.com/trading-bot-stats/), [what each bot can do with your money](https://tradingagentstack.com/ai-trading-bots/), the [official links and known fakes](https://tradingagentstack.com/check/), and the [incidents](https://tradingagentstack.com/incidents/). Bot makers who want verified results here can [contact us](https://tradingagentstack.com/contact/) about read-only verification.

## How we verify
**Public data only**

Account history from public chain and venue data: Hyperliquid's API and builder fills, and the on-chain Olas registry and prediction markets through Olas's public indexers. Nothing an operator sends us counts.

**Our own math**

Returns net of deposits and withdrawals, max drawdown, Sortino, and BTC over the same dates. Before the leader's profit share.

**Gates**

Vaults: the venue must score 50%+ on our Safety score (Hyperliquid: 50%), and a fall of more than 30% from a peak means shown, not ranked. Agents: enough settled bets and recent activity.

Full method and limits
- **Return:** each step's profit over the capital at the start plus half the net deposits in that step (Modified Dietz), chained.

- **Window:** vaults, the last 12 months or since the account first held $10,000 if that's later; agents, the last 90 days.

- **Agents:** ROI = trading profit on settled markets over money settled; Brier = mean Brier score of settled bets; ranked by ROI, ties to more money settled. Read from Olas's public Predict indexers (Omen on Gnosis, Polymarket), which anyone can rebuild from the chain.

- **AI apps:** every fill Hyperliquid publishes for the app's builder code over 30 days: volume, distinct users, and closed PnL summed per user, before exchange fees. Sorted by volume, not ranked on skill.

- **Robot signals (grade B):** MQL5's own figures for real accounts with 90%+ robot trading, copied by hand with the date; shown, never ranked with grade A.

- **AI models:** other people's public benchmarks, linked and unchanged. Finished seasons are entered by hand; where sources disagree we show the range.

- **Rank:** Sortino ratio (return per unit of downside volatility), ties to the smaller drawdown.

- **AI label:** a name that says AI, or a leader description that claims AI runs the vault ("AI strategy", "automated AI", a model name). We quote it and don't verify how the vault trades.

- **Security:** a vault leader keeps at least 5% of the vault and takes a 10% profit share; depositors wait 1 day to withdraw. Hyperliquid's terms restrict US and Ontario (Canada) users and sanctioned countries.

- **Limits:** provisional data (older history comes in points several days apart, so older drawdowns may be understated); vaults that closed before we started recording aren't here; past results don't predict future results.

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