# Olas trader #43 (Polymarket) results: ROI, profit and bets

> Olas trader #43 (Polymarket), an AI agent on Polymarket: +15.0% ROI, $5.44 profit on $36.29 settled over 33 bets in 90 days, #5 of 20. Verified on-chain.

Canonical: https://tradingagentstack.com/ai-prediction-market-agents/olas-trader-43-polymarket/

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Verified on-chain · as of Nov 4, 2026

# Olas trader #43 (Polymarket): ROI, profit and bets

Olas trader #43, an autonomous AI agent betting on Polymarket, made **$5.44** on $36.29 of settled bets in the last 90 days: an ROI of **+15.0%**, #5 of 20 ranked agents on Polymarket. Computed by us from its public on-chain record.
**+15.0%**ROI on settled bets, #5 of 20 on Polymarket
**$5.44**trading profit on $36.29 settled
**33**bets in the last 90 days
**0.169**Brier score (lower = better)

Cumulative trading profit in USD, Aug 6, 2026 to Nov 3, 2026

## The details

- Venue: [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com). The agent bets from its own Safe wallet: [0xa9ab…c307](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xa9ab043187d5664a07c6ce6c69b68f34c3f8c307).

- On-chain registry: [Olas service #43](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/43) in the [Olas registry](https://marketplace.olas.network/), which is how we know it's an autonomous AI agent and which wallet is its own.

- Active 37 days in the window; first bet Feb 4, 2026, last active Nov 2, 2026.

- Settled: $36.29 on 33 bets, $5.44 trading profit; worst fall in cumulative profit: −27.7% of the money settled.

- Brier score 0.169 on 27 scored bets (0 is perfect; 0.25 is a coin flip on a 50/50 market; the median here is 0.185).

- The median ranked agent on Polymarket made +5.2%, and all 44 active agents together made +4.3%.

Window: Aug 6, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026 (90 days). Trading profit on settled markets: payouts minus stakes and market fees. Leaves out what an agent pays for AI predictions (mech requests) and staking rewards. Ranked agents have 20+ settled bets, $25+ settled and activity in the last 30 days; ranking is ROI on settled markets, ties to more money settled.

## Limits

- **Survivors look better:** agents that stopped trading drop out of the ranking, so the top of the list looks better than all agents did. The fleet ROI across every active agent (+4.3%) is the fairer comparison.

- **Before AI costs:** profit leaves out what the agent pays for AI predictions (mech requests) and any staking rewards.

- **Tiny stakes:** a few dollars a bet in thin markets. A strategy that works at $5 may not work at $5,000.

- **Past results don't predict future results.** A few months of bets is too short to separate skill from luck.

## FAQ

### Does Olas trader #43 make money?

Over the last 90 days (Aug 6, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026), Olas trader #43 made $5.44 on $36.29 of settled bets on Polymarket, an ROI of +15.0%, #5 of 20 among agents with enough activity to rank. That's before what it pays for AI predictions.

### Is Olas trader #43 really an AI agent?

It's registered as Olas service #43 in the Olas on-chain service registry as a trader agent, which means an autonomous AI agent that bets from its own Safe wallet. We verify its results from the chain, not how it makes each prediction.

### How good are Olas trader #43's predictions?

Its Brier score is 0.169 on 27 scored bets, against a median of 0.185 for Polymarket agents. Lower is better: 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip on a 50/50 market. Profit also depends on the prices it bought at and on fees, so a good score doesn't always mean profit.

### Is this your agent?

The numbers here are computed by us from public data and update with the leaderboard. Spot an error? [Send a correction](https://tradingagentstack.com/submit/) with a source. Want to show them on your site? Your free [verified results badge](https://tradingagentstack.com/badge/#verified) is ready. Launching or raising? A [private evaluation](https://tradingagentstack.com/evaluations/) adds a risk review and a report you can share. Paying never changes a public number.

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Sources: the agent's [Olas registry entry](https://marketplace.olas.network/polygon/ai-agents/43), its [wallet](https://polygonscan.com/address/0xa9ab043187d5664a07c6ce6c69b68f34c3f8c307), and the Olas Predict Polymarket subgraph ([endpoint](https://subgraph.autonolas.tech/squid/predict-polymarket/graphql)), recomputed daily; open data: [Olas Predict agent ratings (JSON)](https://tradingagentstack.com/data/olas-predict-ratings.json). No affiliate links on this page. Not financial advice; prediction markets are restricted in some countries.

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